Saturday, February 18, 2006

7 NCAAB Selections

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Record : 1-2
Streak : L2 (last 2 picks: Akron +7, AZ +3)
Last 10: 1-2
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My pick last night was dominated. Sorry about that, Akron never really had a shot. First, I was listening to the Leroy's hour last night and a couple other shows. I have already made my wagers for today and will share them below. However, if anyone is interested here were Alan Boston and Brent Crow's picks (BB=best bet):

Alan Boston
Ala+2
Depaul +5
Dayton +5
Colorado St -1.5
Utah State -9
BB: Washington State +5.5

Brent Crow
Ala +2
Florida +1.5
Miss St
Georgia -1.5
Samford +6.5
BB:Minnesota +2
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For my own selection today, I am going to post 6 as well on this huge Saturday card. I will even designate a best bet for fun. There will be no long write-up, just my reaction to the lines and matchups, but feel free to discuss the games:

1. Florida +1 (best bet)
2. Colorado +1
3. UCONN -4 (bought a half point on this line)
4. BYU +1
5. Virginia +7
6. Kentucky +4
7. Iowa pk


When correcting my record and streak for tomorrow, I will use the order that the picks are in for my streak.

A couple notes: I like a lot of games today... Some that made my short list were Tennesse -1 , Iowa State +10, Michigan +9.5, UNLV +3, Notre Dame +2, Georgia -2, Northern Arizona +10, and Buffalo +8.

goodluck with your decisions this Saturday

Friday, February 17, 2006

The Game: Akron Zips @ Nevada Wolfpack

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Record : 1-1
Streak : L1 (last 2 picks: AZ +3, FL -2)
Last 10: 1-1
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Today's Play: Akron Zips (19-5, 12-2(Home: 7-0, Away: 5-2)) +7 @ Nevada Wolfpack (19-5, 9-3)

Notes on Akron
• Akron is looking for its first 20-win season since 1988-89 (21-8).

• Akron is tied for the lead in the MAC East Division with Kent State.

• Akron is receiving votes in both of this week’s national polls. The Zips had eight votes in The Associated Press Top 25 and one tally in the USA Today/ESPN Coaches Top 25. UA is also ranked 12th in the CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25, in which coaches vote.

• The Zips are 8-5 in games played outside of Akron this season (6-4 road/2-1 neutral). UA’s four road losses came against Cal (Dec. 3), top-25 ranked Louisville (Dec. 10), Ohio (Jan. 24) and Kent State (Feb. 4). The team’s neutral loss came to Clemson (Dec. 21) in the title game of the San Juan Shootout in Puerto Rico.

• Center Rob Preston was named MAC East Division player of the week on Monday. He averaged 15 points and 4.5 rebounds in last week’s two wins.

• Akron’s 19-5 record is its best start in the Division I era (1980-81). This will be the Zips’ second-consecutive winning season and 11th in DI history.

• UA leads the MAC in five categories – scoring (74.3 ppg), scoring margin (+10.1), assists (16.5), assist-turnover ratio (1.3) and 3-pointers made (8.1 per game).

• The Zips rank among the national leaders in assists (16.5) and fewest turnovers (12.4) per game, however, the squad has had more turnovers than assists in the last three games.

• UA’s 3-pointers made per game (8.1) also rank high nationally. The Zips have hit eight or more treys in a game 14 times this season.

• Guard Dru Joyce accounts for 116 (4.8 apg) of Akron’s 396 assists, and 62 of its 297 turnovers. He is second in the MAC in assists and first in assistturnover ratio (1.9), and his 10.4 ppg rank third on the team. His 311 career assists list him fifth all-time in program history, but he had no assists for the first time in 59 games against Bowling Green on Tuesday.

• Forward Romeo Travis leads UA and ranks in the top 10 in the league in scoring (13.8 ppg/10th in MAC), rebounding (6.4 rpg/eighth in MAC) and field goals (51 percent/10th in MAC). He tallied his ninth career double-double (11 points, 12 rebounds) on Tuesday against Bowling Green

• UA uses a 10-man rotation, with eight of those averaging at least 13 minutes.
• Over the last three games Akron’s bench has outscored its opponents 104-59.


• The Zips have shot 50 percent or better from the field in two of their last three games, bucking the trend on Tuesday against Bowling Green (41.1 percent/23-of-56).

• Akron has out-rebounded three-straight and four of its last six opponents.

• UAhas not lost consecutive games this season.
• Akron swept play against MAC West Division teams this season, going 8-0 against those foes.


Leaders of the Zips
The Zips are led by junior forward Romeo Travis (6-7, 220) who is averaging 13.9 points and 6.1 rebounds per contest. Sophomore guard Nick Dials (6-1,175), a transfer from Ohio State, has turned in 10.8 points per game, while junior guard Dru Joyce (6-0, 165) is averaging 10.4 ppg. Joyce has knocked down 46.2 percent of his three-point attempts (43-93), while Dials has made
a team-best 46 treys and is shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc. As a team, Akron ranks in the top 50 in the nation in both three-point field goal percentage (37.1 percent) and threepointers per game (8.1).

On The Line Vs. Nevada...
• An Akron victory would give it 20 wins in a season for the first time since 1988-89 (21-8).
• An Akron victory would extending its best-ever start in the Division I era.
• An Akron victory would be its fourth-straight, and seventh in eight games.

For full-game by game, player by player, in depth game-notes, I have provided this PDF file. (33 pages)


Nevada Wolfpack Notes
Following a 50-49 come-from-behind victory over Louisiana Tech on Monday night, the Nevada Wolf Pack (19-5, 9-3 WAC) takes a break from conference action to play host to Mid-American Conference East Division leader Akron (19-5, 12-2 MAC) on Friday night in the BracketBusters presented by eBay. Friday’s contest, which ends Nevada’s three-game homestand, will tip off at 6:04 p.m. Pacific at Lawlor Events Center and will be broadcast to a national television audience by ESPNU. With Monday night’s victory over La Tech, the Wolf Pack has moved into sole possession of first place in the Western Athletic Conference standings with two weeks to go in the regular season.

Nevada has won six consecutive games, which ties for the team’s longest winning streak of the year, and is currently the longest active streak in the WAC. Nevada holds an 11-1 record at Lawlor Events Center this year and looks to win its fourth straight home game Friday against the Zips.

IN THE SERIES
Friday will mark the first meeting between Nevada and Akron, while the Wolf Pack holds a 2-1 all-time record against teams from the Mid-American Conference. The team’s last meetings with a MAC team came in the BracketBusters event as well. Nevada turned in a 60-58 win over Toledo
on Feb. 21, 2004 in Reno but dropped the return game with an 83-75 loss on Dec. 7, 2004 in Toledo.

NEVADA IN BRACKETBUSTERS
This year will mark Nevada's third appearance in the BracketBusters presented by event, which was created in 2003 in conjunction with the Western Athletic Conference, and several other top college basketball conferences to match potential NCAA tournament hopefuls against each other. Last season, the Wolf Pack turned in a 74-64 victory over on Feb. 19, 2005 in Reno, while in 2004, Nevada edged Toledo 60-58 on Feb. 21 in Reno. As part of the BracketBusters agreement, Nevada will play at Akron in 2006-07.

NOTES FROM NEVADA’S CURRENT SIX-GAME WINNING STREAK
The Wolf Pack has won six consecutive games, which matches the team’s longest winning streak of the year... the Wolf Pack also opened this season with six straight victories... that seasonopening six-game streak included four road wins (at Vermont, UNLV, Kansas and Pacific), while Nevada’s current streak features three (at Boise State, Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State)...another victory would give the team its longest streak since winning 10 straight at the
end of the regular season last year (nine straight WAC games and a BracketBuster matchup with Vermont)...five players have averaged at least eight points per game in the last six victories (Fazekas-23.2 ppg, Kemp 14.2, Shiloh 9.8, Johnson 8.7 and Charlo 8.2)... Nevada is averaging 74.2 points per game in those five wins (up from season average of 71.7 ppg) and has turned in
three of its top five scoring efforts of the season, including a season-high 90 points in its Feb. 4 win at New Mexico State...the Wolf Pack has shot 46.5 percent from the field and has outrebounding its opponents by 5.0 rebounds per tilt in the six-game stretch (35.8 to 30.8 rpg)...Nevada has also held teams to 63.3 points per game and just 28.9 percent shooting from beyond the arc (26-90) during the win streak.

NEVADA’S 20-WIN SEASONS
With the team’s next victory, Nevada will notch its third consecutive 20-win season and the eighth in school history. Last season, the Wolf Pack turned in back-to-back 20-win seasons for the first time in school history. One year ago, the Wolf Pack won its 20th game of the season on Feb. 19 vs. Vermont in ESPN’s Bracket Buster Saturday. Last season, Mark Fox became the first Wolf Pack head coach to win 20+ games in his first year at Nevada and the seventh different Nevada mentor to reach the 20-win plateau.

Tough Defense
In its last 11 home games, Nevada has allowed its opponents to score just 55.5 points per contest (611 points). On Jan. 23, Nevada held Utah State (then the league’s leading scorer) to the Aggies’ season low-tying 59 points. The loss snapped the Wolf Pack’s streak of 33 straight victories when holding its opponent to 60 points or less, including 17 wins last season and the
first five this year. Including its two wins over La Tech, Nevada has now won 36 of its last 37 games when holding a team to 60 points or less.

The Wolf Pack holds a 15-2 record when outrebounding its opponents this season. The team outboarded WAC rebounding leader Louisiana Tech in both meetings, including a 45-37 advantage over La Tech on Thursday night and a 40-39 edge in Ruston on Feb. 2. The Bulldogs continue to lead the league with 40.3 rebounds per game and are allowing opponents just 34.0 boards per contest.

Last Important thing about NEVADA
Including an 11-1 mark this season, the Wolf Pack has turned in a 39-5 record at home since the start of the 2003-04 season (.886). Nevada was a perfect 15-0 at Lawlor Events Center in 2003-04 and turned in a 13-4 record at home last season. The Wolf Pack has won 72.7 percent of its games at Lawlor Events Center since the arena opened in 1983-84 (242-91 all-time record).


BUT.......
?? Nevada has turned in an 11-4 record in games decided by 10 points or less this season (3-1 in games decided by five or less), most recently defeating Louisiana Tech 50-49 on Monday night. The Wolf Pack has won eight of its last 11 close contests. The Wolf Pack is no stranger to close games, winning 14 of 18 decided by 10 points or less last year.

SO TO WRAP IT UP...
AKRON is a team that passes the ball great (16.5 assists to 12 turnovers a game) which just might be the potion for Nevada's defense. The Zips rebound the ball very well also and have a deep bench. Akron will be much tougher competition than LA TECH and Nevada has been squeaking by LA TECH 50-49 (trailing 36-27 @ half) . If they come out flat against the Zips, Nevada will have a much tougher time catching up. The depth of the bench will most likely help the Zips in this contest, especially taking the altitude into account. I like Akron's chances at winning this game straight up and I especially like taking 3 and a half baskets. Zips +7 in this game.

Goodluck with your decision

Akron #54:

Wins
#249 Youngstown, #306 Duquesne, #256 Mt St Marys, #115 Mississipp, #152 Wright St, #184 Ball St, #141 Toledo, #159 Western Mich (twice), #125 Northern Ill, #294 Central Mich, #267 Eastern Mich (twice), W 52-45 vs. #83 Miami Ohio, vs. #202 Bowling Green, vs. #120 Buffalo

Losses
12/3/2005 Away L 75-89 vs. #47 California
12/10/2005 Away L 85-111 vs. #46 Louisville
12/21/2005 Neut L 59-66 vs. #73 Clemson

These games are all losses to top 100 teams BUT something to strongly consider is that they were very early in the year (just about 2 months ago for those games)I think the losses below are more to how the team has been playing since developing some character.

1/24/2006 Away L 63-66 vs. #107 Ohio
2/4/2006 Away L 57-63 vs. #74 Kent

In my estimations Kent is a consistently strong team this year and that was a 6pt loss on the road. Ohio was a 3 point loss

Nevada #45:

Wins:
#170 Sacramento, #243 Vermont, #97 Unlv , #25 Kansas , #103 Pacific, #271 UC Davis, #65 Georgia , #291 Norfolk St, #186 Ul Lafayette, #241 San Jose St, #297 Idaho, #151 Boise St, #100 Hawaii, 65-53 vs. #106 Louisiana (twice), #142 New Mexico

**Note: Those very nice wins against UNLV, KANSAS, PACIFIC, GEORGIA.. all fell between 11/26/05 and 12/21/05... So that some quality wins but were some time ago (over a month).

Losses:
12/10/2005 Neut L 56-67 vs. #23 UCLA
12/31/2005 Away L 80-89 vs. #127 St Marys CA

1/5/2006 Away L 69-73 vs. #100 Hawaii
1/18/2006 Away L 77-87 vs. #132 Fresno St
1/23/2006 Home L 53-59 vs. #75 Utah St

Losses against top 150 schools

Thursday, February 16, 2006

*NBA Survivor* The Game: Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns

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What: One pick a day with write-up (per NCAA & NBA)
When: Before game time. Usually before 6 PM EST


Record : 0-0
Streak : W0
Last 10: 0-0
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Today's Pick: Houston Rockets (22-30) @ Phoenix Suns (34-17), -4.5, 10 p.m.

Information from: FoxSheets, Covers Matchups, SportsNetwork, NBA.com, team websites.

(Sports Network) - The Houston Rockets and Phoenix Suns put their three-game winning streaks on the line tonight, as they meet at US Airways Center.

This is the final game for both teams before the All-Star break.

Houston wraps up a brief two-game road trip. On Tuesday, Tracy McGrady poured in 28 points and dished off five assists to lead the Rockets over the Los Angeles Clippers, 128-97, at the Staples Center.

Yao Ming added 17 points and 12 rebounds in the win over the Clippers for the surging Rockets, who have won seven of their last eight games overall. Rafer Alston finished with 17 points and 13 assists, while Keith Bogans contributed 18 points and David Wesley netted 16 in the victory.

McGrady and Yao will be in the starting lineup for the Western Conference in Sunday's All-Star Game, which will be played at the Toyota Center.

The Rockets are 14-14 as the visitor this season. They have won three in a row on the road.

Phoenix plays the first of a three-game homestand. Steve Nash tallied 19 points, pulled down six rebounds and dished off 12 assists to lead the Suns to an easy 116-101 win over the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday at the Pepsi Center.

Shawn Marion added 21 points and 12 boards in the win over Denver for the Suns, who have won six of their last seven games overall. Raja Bell chipped in with 20 and five assists, while Boris Diaw had 17 points and 10 boards in the victory. Marion will be a reserve for the West in the All-Star Game, while Nash will be in the starting lineup.

This is the second meeting of the season between the squads. On November 23rd, Marion led six Phoenix players in double figure scoring with 19 points and also pulled down 12 rebounds, as the Suns beat the Rockets, 100-88, at the Toyota Center.

The Suns have won two of three and six of the last eight meetings in this series. Houston has won five of its last eight at Phoenix.


All games in this series since 1996
HOUSTON is 19-16 against the spread versus PHOENIX since 1996
PHOENIX is 21-16 straight up against HOUSTON since 1996
22 of 35 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at PHOENIX since 1996
HOUSTON is 12-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX since 1996
PHOENIX is 10-8 straight up against HOUSTON since 1996
13 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996

Games played at PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Interesting Trends (For/Against my play):

Houston Rockets:
-----as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points 10-1 ATS
-----in road games 20-8 ATS

Those are some nasty trends.

Phoenix Suns:
-----when playing on back-to-back days 7-3 ATS
-----when playing against a team with a losing record 11-14 ATS
-----as a favorite 21-17 ATS
-----as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points 1-2 ATS

Those are some not so nasty trends.

Trends are Trends though? They still have to play this game.

Best of luck with your decision.

*NCAAB Survivor* The Game: Arizona @ California

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What: One pick a day with write-up
When: Before game time. Usually before 6 PM EST

Record : 1-0
Streak : W1
Last 10: 1-0
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Today's Pick: Arizona (15-9, 8-5) +3 at California (15-6, 9-3)

Time: 7:30 p.m. PST
Location: Haas Pavilion (11,877), Berkeley, Calif.
Radio: Wildcat Radio Network (Brian Jeffries/Ryan Hansen)
TV: FSN (Steve Physioc/Marques Johnson)

A Quick Look at the Golden Bears
California will try to extend its five-game winning streak when the Golden Bears host Arizona Thursday and Arizona State Saturday in Haas Pavilion. At 15-6 overall and 9-3 in the Pac-10, Cal enters the week just one-half game out of first place in the conference standings.

During its current run, Cal has won four of the five contests by three-points or less, with only a 69-52 victory at Oregon State breaking the pattern. The Bears have limited opponents to just 59.2 ppg over the stretch while committing a total of 41 turnovers, including a low of four in last Thursday's 65-62 win over Stanford.

Against the Cardinal, F Leon Powe scored a career-high 32 points - most by a Cal player in more than three years - and grabbed nine rebounds. The 6-8 junior now leads the Pac-10 in both scoring (19.4 ppg) and rebounding (10.6 rpg). If he can maintain his pace, he will become the first Bear since Mark McNamara in 1981-82 (22.0 ppg, 12.6 rpg) to top the conference in both categories.

In addition, Powe is on track to be the first Cal player to average at least 10 points and 10 rebounds since Brian Hendrick in 1991-92 (16.1 ppg, 10.7 rpg). His 16 boards at Oregon State Feb. 2 were a personal best and a high for any Pac-10 player this year.

In the backcourt, junior G Ayinde Ubaka tossed in 18 points vs. Stanford to lift his season scoring rate to 15.3 ppg. He helped clinch the contest by shooting 4-for-4 from the foul line in the final 24 seconds. Ubaka is now 28-for-31 (90.3%) at the charity stripe in the final two minutes of games this season.

With 45 three-pointers, Ubaka also leads a perimeter attack that is connecting on 38.5 percent of its long-range attempts - second in the Pac-10 and highest for any Cal team in 16 seasons. Ubaka, senior Richard Midgley and sophomore Omar Wilkes have combined to make 102-of-252 three-pointers (42.1%).
Midgley, the only healthy senior on the roster, ranks 22nd in school history in total points with 1,115, and he is second in three-pointers made with 173, with 39 treys this year.

Probable Starters
POS NO NAME HT WT YR PPG RPG
F 44 Leon Powe 6-8 240 So 19.4 10.6
C 35 DeVon Hardin 6-11 235 So 8.3 7.0
G 1 Ayinde Ubaka 6-4 200 Jr 15.3 3.9 apg
G 2 Omar Wilkes 6-4 185 So 9.0 1.5
G 15 Richard Midgley 6-3 195 Sr 9.8 2.7

Arizona Wildcats Game Notes
-------------------------------
Game Data: Arizona (15-9, 8-5 Pac-10) begins its last road trip of the regular season Thursday at California (15-6, 9-3 Pac-10) ... The Cats hope to continue the momentum built with two home wins last weekend, but are 5-8 this season away from home ... Over its last 10 games, Arizona is shooting 45.2 percent (280-of-620) from the field, including 32.2 percent (38-of-118) from three-point range, both improvements over the season-long statistics (.442/.311).

The Rankings: For the fifth consecutive week, Arizona remained unranked in both the Associated Press Top 25 and the ESPN/USA Today Coaches Poll. The Cats saw its string of 312 consecutive regular-season AP poll appearances end on Dec. 19.

Last Time Out: Arizona posted a 42-28 rebound advantage and forced 25 turnovers in earning an 80-58 victory Saturday over Oregon State. Led by a career-high 26 points from Ivan Radenovic, eight of 11 Wildcats to see action scored points and nine grabbed at least one rebound. A 20-9 UA run over the last nine minutes put the game out of reach. Hassan Adams (9) and Mustafa Shakur (7) combined for 16 assists.

The Series: Tonight’s game is the 72nd meeting of the two schools with Arizona holding a 47-24 series advantage. UA has won 14 of the last 15 meetings in the series, which dates back to 1924, including the last meeting, 60-55, on Jan. 21 in Tucson. All-time, Arizona is 24-8 in series games played in Tucson, 20-15 in Berkeley, Calif., and 3-1 in neutral-site games.

Last Meeting: Arizona 60, California 55, Jan. 21, 2006: Arizona parlayed a 47-30 rebound margin into a 17-5 advantage in second-chance points as the Wildcats posted a hard-fought, five-point win. UA offset 33.3 percent shooting with 21 offensive rebounds and managed to hold the lead for the final 26:46. Arizona clinched the game by hitting 10-of-14 free throws over the final 5:23. Hassan Adams led the Wildcats with 16 points, while Ivan Radenovic added 10 points and nine rebounds.

Rodgers Returns: After being dismissed from the team on Jan. 18, guard Chris Rodgers was reinstated and returned to practice on Monday. The 6-foot-4 senior from Portland, Ore., is averaging 10.8 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game in 16 appearances (13 starts) this season. Head coach Lute Olson did not specify if Rodgers would play tonight, indicating that it would be a game time decision. To date, Arizona is 5-3 since the Jan. 18 announcement.

Power Forward Productivity: In leading Arizona to a pair of wins last week, Ivan Radenovic averaged 20.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. He connected on 63.0 percent of his field goal attempts (17-of-20), 70.0 percent (7-of-10) of his free throws, and added three steals in the effort. Radenovic opened the week with 15 points (5-of-6 FGs), six rebounds and a career-high six assists Thursday vs. Oregon in a career high 37 minutes, and followed that up with a career-high 26 points (12-of-21 FGs), seven rebounds (four offensive) and three steals Saturday vs. Oregon State. On the season, Radenovic is averaging 10.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, while shooting 42.6 percent from the field.

Either Way, Ws are OK: The Arizona wins last week were from opposite ends of the winning margin spectrum. Thursday’s two-point decision was UA’s seventh game of the season decided by five points or less, where the Cats are 4-3 in such contests. Saturday’s 22-point win was UA’s fourth game decided by 20 or more points (UA 4-0). The 80-52 win over Oregon State was the team’s first game decided by 20 or more points since an 87-51 win over Sam Houston State on Dec. 19, a span of 15 games.

Triangulating a Win: Arizona did three things well in Saturday’s Oregon State win that it has traditionally done en route to victory: it enjoyed a strong inside presence, created turnovers and got out on the fast break. The game saw Arizona’s post players combine for 37 points (16-of-30 FG) and 17 rebounds, while enjoying a 44-30 points-in-the-paint scoring advantage. Additionally, UA converted 25 OSU miscues into 29 points and held a +15 points off turnovers margin and a 16-4 edge in fast break points.

Standing Tall: The Wildcats have enjoyed unseen levels of productivity from center Kirk Walters of late. In his last six games, the 6-foot-10 junior from Grand Rapids, Mich., is averaging 10.7 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.5 blocked shots per game, while shooting 75.0 percent (27-of-36) from the field. In that time, Walters has finished in double figures three times and grabbed five or more rebounds five times. On the season, the center is averaging 6.5 points and 3.9 rebounds per game, while posting a team-leading 58.2 field goal percentage.

Put the Throttle Down: The Wildcats reached the 80-point plateau Saturday for the seventh time this season and UA is undefeated when accomplishing the feat. It was just the third time the team scored 80 or more in Pac-10 play and only two of those came at home. Last year, Arizona averaged 82.6 points per game in Pac-10 play and scored 80 or more points 11 times in those 18 games.

Multiple Miscues: The Wildcats forced Oregon State into 25 turnovers on Saturday, including 16 in the first half, which marked the 13th time this season that UA had forced 20 or more turnovers in a game, but the first time in the last five games. On the season, Arizona forces its opponents into an average of 20.3 turnovers per game.

Equal Distribution: Balance was the word of the day Saturday, as 10 of the 11 Wildcats to see action grabbed at least one rebound and eight of 11 scored points. All told, UA reserves logged a total of 62 minutes in Saturday’s win.

4+5: The Arizona frontcourt has been increasingly productive over the last four games, The duo of Kirk Walters and Ivan Radenovic have combined to shoot 48-of-70 (.686) from the floor and are averaging 28.8 points and 12.3 rebounds per game.

No Day Off: Hassan Adams tallied a season-low eight points in Saturday’s win, just the second time this season that he has finished out of double figures. He enjoyed a rare day off from shouldering the scoring burden by posting a career-high nine assists to go with two steals in the effort. In addition to his team-leading 18.3 points per game average, Adams is averaging 2.9 assists and 2.67 steals.

Back at It: Arizona collected 13 steals in Saturday’s game against Oregon State, it’s highest total in seven games. It is the 15th time in 24 games that the Cats have garnered 10 or more steals in a game. This season, Arizona leads the Pac-10 by averaging 10.1 steals per game.

Big On Bret: Sophomore forward Bret Brielmaier equaled a career high with five rebounds (four offensive) Saturday against Oregon State. The 6-foot-6 walk-on from Mankato, Minn., grabbed a total of eight rebounds in 22 minutes this week. On the year, Brielmaier averages 1.1 points and 1.5 rebounds per game.

Always On the Run: Throughout the season, Arizona has shown the ability to post large scoring runs with some regularity. The Wildcats’ have 11 scoring runs of 11 or more points this season:
29-1 run over 10:43 vs. Virginia, Nov. 27 (UVa went 0-of-12 with seven turnovers during the run)
33-15 run over 10:26 vs. Sam Houston State, Dec. 19 (UA 13-of-20 in run)
24-7 run over 9:53 at UCLA, Feb. 4 (UA 9-of-13 FG, 6-of-6 FT in run; UCLA 3-of-10 FG)
22-6 run over 8:19 at Oregon State, Jan. 12 (Seven TO and just 7 OSU FG attempts in run)
21-6 run over 7:12 vs. Michigan State, Nov. 23 (no MSU field goals in last 5:44 of regulation)
20-4 run over 9:10 vs. Kansas, Nov. 21 (KU hits 3-of-first-12 FG attempts with nine TO)
21-5 run over 7:57 at Houston, Dec. 3 (two UH FGs in last eight minutes of first half)
21-9 run over 12:23 vs. Connecticut, Nov. 22 (UA hits 7-of-11 FG in run)
25-11 run over 9:27 vs. USC, Jan. 7 (USC 4-of-13 FG, eight turnovers during run)
26-13 run over 13:04 vs. Saint Mary’s, Dec. 10 (nine SMC turnovers during run)
38-27 run over 13:52 at Washington, Dec. 31 (UA makes 10-of-first-14 FG to ignite 2nd half run)

Arizona Head Coach Lute Olson . . . is in his 23rd season at Arizona and his 33rd overall as a college head coach with a career record of 756-265 (.740) and 564-173 (.765) at Arizona ... He was inducted into the Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame on Sept. 27, 2002 ... Olson became the 16th coach in basketball history to tally 1,000 career victories (covering all levels) on Dec. 11, 2004 ... Olson recorded his 750th collegiate victory on Dec. 31, 2005, and became Arizona’s career victories leader (510) on Jan. 17, 2004 ... He has the most Pac-10 wins (313) of any coach in league history ... Olson has the second-best conference winning percentage (.773/313-92) and second-most league championships won (11) in Pac-10 history (minimum three years), trailing only UCLA’s John Wooden (.810/304-74/16 titles) ... During his 23-year tenure at Arizona, the Wildcats have won one national championship (1997), played in the national championship game (2001), participated in four Final Fours (1988, 1994, 1997, 2001), won 11 Pac-10 Conference titles, four Pac-10 Tournament crowns (1988, ‘89, ‘90, 2002) and been to the NCAA Tournament for 21 consecutive seasons, which is the longest active and second-longest streak in NCAA history (North Carolina, 27) ... He also led Iowa to the 1980 Final Four ... Olson has been named the Pac-10 Coach of the Year seven times (1986, ‘88, ‘89, ‘93, ‘94, ‘98, 2003), the Big Ten Coach of the Year twice (1979 & ‘81) and directed the UA program to the nation’s best winning percentage over the past 18 years (479-118/.802) ... In his collegiate career, Olson has produced 49 NBA Draft picks, including 30 at Arizona – 21 alone since 1990 ... He’s led UA to 18 consecutive 20-win seasons and has 27 overall in his career, making him one of only four head coaches in NCAA history to record 27 or more 20-win seasons... Under Olson, the Cats are 331-34 (.907) in McKale Center and have won 259 of its last 277 home games ... He is assisted by Jim Rosborough, Josh Pastner and Miles Simon ... Olson is 39-10 against California

Possible effect of having Chris Rogers back: Lute Olson quote
"The other thing that I was going to say is that Chris Rogers will practice with us today, as to whether he’ll play this weekend or not I don’t know. But he will be back on the court with us today. He has fulfilled the various responsibilities that have been set up for him to get back. I visited with all the guys individually today to discuss that situation and they are all very much in favor of him being back on the floor."

THE SHORT AND SWEET VERSION:

Arizona has dominated the series. Arizona has had its share of troubles on the road and Haas Pavilion will not make the challenge of playing on the road any easier. However, they have won their before. In fact:

All games played at CALIFORNIA since 1997
CALIFORNIA is 4-4 against the spread versus ARIZONA since 1997
ARIZONA is 6-2 straight up against CALIFORNIA since 1997
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Not too mention this trend:

All games in this series since 1997
ARIZONA is 10-9 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA since 1997
ARIZONA is 17-2 straight up against CALIFORNIA since 1997
10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Initial lean was towards California because of their nice win streak. There is no doubt they have been playing good basketball but most importantly, they have been able to finish out close games (winning at home against Stanford by 3 and on the road to Oregon by 2).

Arizona plays tough defense and have showed improved team chemistry in the last week. They have lots of talent and tonight's match will most likely be another display of Arizona's domination in this series.

Wednesday, February 15, 2006

*NCAAB Survivor* The Game: Florida @ Vanderbilt

==============================================
What: One pick a day with write-up
When: Before game time. Usually before 6:30 PM

Record : 0-0
Streak : 0
Last 10: 0-0
==============================================
Today's Pick: Florida -2 @ Vanderbilt

FLORIDA: 21-3, 12-6 ATS
VANDERBILT: 13-8, 7-11 ATS

Florida has won the last 5 meetings SU (4-1 ATS)

Sports Network

Florida possesses one of the most potent offensive attacks in the nation, averaging a healthy 81.4 ppg on a solid 52.1 percent shooting from the floor and 39.7 percent from long range. Taurean Green currently leads the team in scoring at 14.3 ppg and he has also been responsible for running the offense with club-best 5.2 apg. Joakim Noah has also had himself a solid year and is turning in 13.0 ppg and 6.0 rpg, in addition to shooting an unconscious 65.9 percent from the floor. Corey Brewer adds 11.9 ppg and 3.8 apg to the Gators' arsenal, while Al Horford contributes 11.8 ppg and a team-high 7.5 rpg. Lee Humphrey is another player worth noting, as he is netting 10.6 ppg on an SEC- best 50.7 percent shooting from three-point range. In the team's last game, Noah and Horford each turned in 16 points to lead Florida to a nine-point win over LSU. Humphrey chipped in with 13 points for the Gators, who shot 48.3 percent from the floor.

FoxSheets
All games in this series since 1997
VANDERBILT is 9-9 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
FLORIDA is 13-5 straight up against VANDERBILT since 1997
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-2 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 5-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at VANDERBILT since 1997
VANDERBILT is 6-2 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997
VANDERBILT is 4-4 straight up against FLORIDA since 1997
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997

Games played at VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Florida last 3:
KENTUCKY 95-80 W -7.5 W
S CAROLINA 67-71 L -11.5 L
LSU 71-62 W -6 W

Vanderbilt last 3:
GEORGIA 73-74 L -9.5 L
@ ALABAMA 74-77 L 3 T
KENTUCKY 84-81 W -3.5 L